Not the best race I've seen lately but there's a winner somewhere amongst them, I'm not sure if I dare lay the 3yo Somekindasuperstar who I think might need a further to show its true worth, Isabella Ruby hasn't any c/d from to its name but a Wolverhampton time could see it make the frame, Lucky Beggar has poor form recently and I would have to go back to 2017 to find its best time but its still a maiden on the AW after 8 runs, there's other lightly raced sorts in the race which I'm not sure what to expect from them so my stakes will be kept on the low side, my 2nd top rated on 2020 times is Gorgeous General so it could make the frame, I think the horse that will set the pace is LORD OF THE GLEN 9/4 who is my top rated and I'm hoping it can lead all the way here.
Lord Of The Glen 9/4 3rd (-1pt)
Total: -1pt
NEWCASTLE 8.30
At least in this race I know there's some front running types in the race but again there is a few lightly raced sorts who could put the spanner in the works so stakes will be kept on the low side, I'm not sure Another Angel will stay this trip if there's a fast early pace or if Airglow will like this surface, so the pace may be set by The Armed Man if allowed to set a slightly lower pace, my 3rd top rated overall is Buccaneers Vault it is 2nd top rated on just 2020 times, Epeius hasn't any recent c/d times but has a time from 2019 that takes it to 2nd top rated overall, my top rated on just 2020 times is LUCKY LODGE 11/2 and its best time from 2019 is also enough to make it top rated overall if only by 2lbs and will be the one carrying my money.
Lucky Lodge 11/2 1st (+5.5pts) Betfair SP 7.8
Total: +5.5pts
Total on the day +4.5pts
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