Only 8 runners which I can split into 3 groups, there's a couple that could run ok but I'm not sure they can win the race, then I've got 4 that i would look to lay if of any value, 9/1 or less (Strong Power + Able Kane + Sycamore + Honore Daumier) which leaves the two i will be backing, HUMAN NATURE 8/1 is top rated if I go back to its best time from 2018 and to be honest its not had many races since then under ideal conditions so could bounce back to form here if allowed an easy lead as its the only known front running type in the race but I will also back the horse top rated on 2020 times and that's HOLDENHURST 8/1 who likes to track the pacesetters and then stay on strongly at the finish.
Human Nature 8/1 6th (-1pt)
Holdenhurst 33/1 7th (-1pt)
Lay bets: Able Kane -1.375pts (Betfair 2.44pts), Strong Power +1pt, Sycamore +1pt, Honore Daumier +1pt
Total: -0.375pts
LEICESTER 3.05
The early pace in this race could be set by Dark Shot and Equiano Springs wont let it have its own way at the head of the race, Tathmeen comes out 3rd best on my figures and usually race in midfield before trying to stay on at the finish, my top 2 are only separated by 1lb on my ratings so I will be backing them both, INDIAN SOUNDS 6/4 and NORTH WIND 6/1 they both like to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish and being so closely rated it may come down to which one of them gets the clearest run in the race.
Indian Sounds 6/4 5th (-1pt)
North Wind 6/1 6th (-1pt)
Total: -2pts
WOLVERHAMPTON 4.25
I will start with the 2 lays as long as they are no bigger than 9/1 shots, (*Bellevarde who might want further + Capla Spirit who might prefer a different surface ) although Capla Spirit is the only known front runner in the race I think it will set the race up for a finishing type, Mutabaahy, Baltic State, Dynamo Walt and Dana Forever could run well and be battling to fill the places but my money will be on VICTORY ROSE 9/4 who recorded its best time this year and likes to track the leader and then stay on resolutely at the business end of the race.
Victory Rose 9/4 1st (+2.25pts) (Betfair SP 1.67pts)
Lay bets: Capla Spirit +1pt
Total: +3.25pts
Total on the day: +0.875pts
No comments:
Post a Comment