To be honest there's quite a lot of horses that could go really well in this race and it wont take much winning but first a couple of lays (Lincoln Red + Arnold) I wouldn't persuade anyone who decided to leave this race alone to take the gamble but I will be betting in the race, to small stakes, on 3 horses for various reasons, STAR CRACKER 8/1 in stall 5 is one of 4 known front runners in the race its not been in good form lately but its best time from 2019 would be enough to win this race, another that could go well from the front and drawn in stall 13 is ROCKLEY POINT 8/1 then I've got to add GUNMAKER 7/1 into the mix, this one likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly so from stall 7 it should get a good tow into the race.
Gunmaker 10/1 8th (-1pt)
Star Cracker 14/1 Unp (-1pt)
Rockley Point 12/1 Unp (-1pt)
Lay bets: Lincoln Red +1pt, Arnold +1pt
Total: -1pt
NEWCASTLE 4.45
Six of the 14 runners have been known to lead before and this race might well be won from the front, I would look to lay (Not On Your Nellie) who is a 3yo so i might have got this one wrong but I will stick with my analysis and think this surface might not suit it and on the early tissue prices its forecast to be one of the favourites, Be Proud and Royal Brave could run well in this race and both will be trying to stay on at the finish my money will be riding on BOUDICA BAY 6/1 who is known as a front running type and the trainer has a 21% win rate at this course with their older horses.
Boudica Bay 8/1 8th (-1pt)
Lay bet: Not On Your Nellie +1pt
Total: 0pts
CHELMSFORD 8.20
There's 4 known front runners in this race and will hopefully set it up for a horse coming from off the pace, I cannot find anything of value to lay here, Never Dark, Summit Fever and Global Prospector could battle for the lead and possibly manage enough to make the frame but I will be backing COWBOY SOLDIER 7/1 who is a hold up type and is dropped in class to run in this race.
Cowboy Soldier 8/1 2nd (-1pt)
Total: -1pt
Total on the day: -2pts
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