I think its a shame there's only 7 runners but hey ho there's nothing I can do about it, I would look to lay (Fox Hill + Mutabaahy + Jill Rose) Red Pike comes out 3rd top on it best 2019 time, Longroom likes to track the leaders and comes out 2nd top overall but I am hoping DAPPER MAN 14/1 can lead in this race and if getting to the front and reproducing its best Newmarket time from 2019 would have a few spots in hand and win cosily, I would love to put this up as an each-way bet but cannot with only 2 places up for grabs.
Dapper Man 14/1 5th (-2pts)
Lay bets: Fox Hill +1pt, Mutabaahy +1pt, Jill Rose 0pt
BEVERLEY 2.30
This is a race I would normally leave well alone, its a very poor class 6 affair with a lot of either 3yo’s or lightly races horses but the topweight QAARAAT 8/1 has become well handicapped recently and in this race, it's carrying the topweight against inferior horses and looks to have been found a good opportunity to get back to winning ways and the price is a little more than I was expecting.
Qaaraat 8/1 5th (-1pt)
Total: -1pt
CATTERICK 3.15
A race where there's quite a few lightly raced sorts so my stakes won't be at full tilt maybe it's not really a race to be betting in and it's only after looking at the tissue prices have I decided to write up this race, Carlovian and Indian Pursuit should make sure there's a good early pace and either could do enough to make the frame, B Fifty Two could go well but doesn't like really fast going, the one to catch my eye is, of course, top-rated who is well weighted on its best tie from Doncaster last year but this one does want genuine good to firm ground to show its best so if the going is ideal I will back LUCKY BEGGAR 7/1.
Lucky Beggar 11/1 8th (-1pt)
Total: -1pt
LINGFIELD 6.15
I love my AW racing but this is a dire affair, of the 11 runners I could probably lay 7 of them and maybe the 3yo bottom-weight maybe should be added to the list, Bernies Boy is my 3rd top-rated but that's using a 2018 time and looks to be on a downward spiral but could get placed here as the race is that bad, Cappananty Con is 2nd top-rated on 2020 times and could go well but I will be backing TOMSHALFBROTHER 10/3 who is the top rate on this year's speed figures and the trainer has a 27% win ratio with their older horses on this course.
Tomshalfbrother 10/3 6th (-1pt)
Total -1pt
Total on the day: -3pts
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