STORM OVER the trainer is 1-16 with its older horses at this course and it doesn't want good to firm ground plus this trip might be a bit on the short side so maybe worth laying.
MANSHOOD has the best speed figure just for 2020 and the trainer does ok at this course and could go well enough to make the frame.
OUR LITTLE PONY it looks a positive jockey booking but it races as though some cut in the ground suits it best but I don't quite think I could confidently lay this one.
JUNGLE SPEED one of 3 horses known to lead before but has only produced relatively slow times so is not for me in this race and a lay if priced in single figures.
AIRSHOW looks a horse to lay as its best time from 2018 was way below what's needed here and hasn't recorded a time of note since then and will be one of the outsiders and one to lay.
MACHREE has what looks a positive jockey booking and is another possible pacesetter and if getting to the front should be a tough nut to crack.
EAST STREET REVUE looks to be on a downward spiral as its best time has gone lower and lower for the last 3 years and maybe it should be on my list to lay.
GLORY FIGHTER is the 3rd possible pacesetter and is 2nd best on just 2020 times and it is possible this 4yo could still improve and should go well here.
CONCLUSION: There is a few in this race that could run well but first I will look to lay (Jungle Speed + Airshow + Storm Over) who all have negatives against their names, Manshood and Glory Fighter might be the one to run well enough here to make the frame but my money will be riding on MACHREE 5/1 who is top-rated overall and has won before off a 5lb higher rating before and ran well on its only run of this year when finishing 5th beaten less than 2 lengths on good to soft ground and will be much happier on this better going.
Machree 5/1 1st (+5pts)
Lay bets: Jungle Speed +1pt, Airshow +1pt, Storm Over +1pt
Total on the day: +8pts
No comments:
Post a Comment