You are probably sick of me telling you to check the going before you bet. I know a lot of people cannot watch an earlier race to see for themselves what the going is and if its the first race on the card I will more often than not leave the race alone. If I make a mistake and lose money then that's my problem but I don't want to lose money for anybody else. So with the showers about this weekend check the going for Newmarket & Windsor before betting today.
WINDSOR 1.55
There's one known frontrunner in this race but it is also one I have added to my lay list which is (Amplify + Saaheq + Charles Molson + Arcanada + A Sure Welcome) so that has omitted 5 of the 9 runners for various reasons, Dunkerron would need to improve timewise to win this race but will be trying to stay on at the finish, Chairmanoftheboard is my 3rd top-rated and will be another staying on at the finish, ATALANTIS BOY 4/1 is 2nd top-rated and usually tracks the leaders and then stay on dourly and the jockeys 3lb claim could be decisive and it has good trainer/jockey stats which make me think connections are expecting a big run here but my money will also be riding on ICE AGE 9/2 who is my top rated and hopefully can stay on the strongest of all at the business end of the race but the jockeys 0-8 on the stables older horses is enough to make me have 2 selections.
Atlantis Boy 4/1 2nd (-1pt)
Ice Age 9/2 9th (-1pt)
Lay bets: Arcanada -18pts, Amplify +1pt, Saaheq +1pt, Charles Molson +1pt, A Sure Welcome +1pt
Total: -16pts
NEWMARKET 2.10
After all this time off and all we have got is 6 runners and I can only lay (Mythmaker) both Equiano Springs and Colonel Frank will have to improve timewise, Vegas Boy is my 3rd top-rated but may struggle to catch DRUMMOND WARRIOR 6/1 who is my 2nd top-rated and looks the most likely one to set the pace in this race and could steal the race from the front but I do have TIN HAT 7/2 rated higher on my own unique speed figures and it should be staying on strongly at the finish.
NEWMARKET 2.10
After all this time off and all we have got is 6 runners and I can only lay (Mythmaker) both Equiano Springs and Colonel Frank will have to improve timewise, Vegas Boy is my 3rd top-rated but may struggle to catch DRUMMOND WARRIOR 6/1 who is my 2nd top-rated and looks the most likely one to set the pace in this race and could steal the race from the front but I do have TIN HAT 7/2 rated higher on my own unique speed figures and it should be staying on strongly at the finish.
Tin Hat 11/2 2nd (-1pt)
Drummond Warrior 13/2 6th (1pt)
Lay bet: Mythmaker +1pt
Total: -1pt
Total on the day: -17pts
No comments:
Post a Comment