A FOOTY METHOD
Jason, who runs my Ericwinner webpage for me, mentioned about me working just as hard behind the scenes all the time.
He is not wrong!
I have over four and half thousand lines of data for horses and that is just for the All-Weather tracks and even then it takes me about an hour and a half to analyse an average twelve runner handicap.
So on a day with several races, I have many hours of form to get through. When racing is finished, I have got to input all the new data and work out my unique speed figures. It leaves very little time for anything else.
Saying all that I would rather be busy than idle and I rarely spend any of my spare time on anything other than looking through videos online about horse racing or football.
For instance, the Premiership introduced Video Assistant Referee - V.A.R.
I thought it would reduce the number of goals scored per game.
In early October, I started analysing the past results - all four leagues. I looked at the goals scored feature on the betting exchanges where you can back or lay many markets on over or under x amount of goals scored per game.
I quickly realised that the 2.5 goals market was too volatile and very hard to predict and with my thinking of there being fewer goals.
I moved on to the under 3.5 goals per game.
The results for the lower leagues were very much hit and miss as I quite expected, although most weekends I'd make a small profit. I did say most, as I am not sure if it would be viable for the whole season.
The Premiership was looking quite promising. My analysis up until mid-October looked as though it could show a profit. However, without a clue as to what the average prices would be it was not a given.
The results from then up till just postponement of football using £100 stakes per game made a profit of over £2,700.
It isn’t a great Return On Investment (R.O.I.). Every weekend, you'd be laying out £1,000. However, a profit is a profit and it all adds up over time.
Will the markets give me the same edge next season? I am not sure! When punters analyse the results for this season the odds may well be re-adjusted.
Next season I will monitor the games to assess whether it will be wise to start betting again.
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