Only 7 runners, Zapper Cass, Ebtida and Private Matter are all on double-figure losing streaks and I cannot see why any of them should change that fact in this race, the 3yo Royal Sands could still improve and needs to win here but lets hope its not in this race, Requited is my 3rd top-rated and the only known pacesetter in the field so is ideally drawn in stall 1 but may set the race up for a finishing type, Samovar is my 2nd top-rated and it usually likes to track the leader and could be the one to have first go at picking up the leader but my money will be riding on the topweight ETERNAL SUN 12/1 can track the leaders or be held up for a late surge and does have a few spots in hand if reproducing its best from this year, its a shame there's only7 runners as it would be a good each-way price if there were 3 places up for grabs.
Eternal Sun 22/1 7th
SOUTHWELL 6.40
A nice looking 10 runner handicap race, I've got a couple of dark horses in Rolladice and Ower Fly who could take to this surface but I will stick with the proven, I can find negatives against half the field, Llamba is my 3rd top-rated and usually likes to track the leaders while my 2nd top-rated Rock Of Estonia is a hold up type, the only known frontrunning sort in the race is also my top rated POETA BRASILEIRO 3/1 so I am hoping this one can lead all the way here and the trainer has a good 20% win rate with his runners at this course which is often an indicator of them expecting it to go well and looking at the price everyone thinks it has a good chance.
Poeta Brasileiro 3/1 2nd
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