Only 6 runners with 1 natural front running type plus 1 that has been known to lead if nothing else wants to and even then there's only 2 that I don't think can win this race, Tropics is 2nd top rated on c/d times from 2018 but only 1lb behind DANZAN 10/1 who looks the most likely pacesetter in this race and with an easy lead this one could go really well, Unabated is rated 2lbs better but that's using its best time from Chelmsford which is the same surface as here but top-rated using its Chelmsford time is ROYAL BIRTH 11/4 but this ones best time here is quite a few pounds lower, so as you can see the waters are fairly muddy and my stakes will not be at full strength and the betting may be the final decider on what I do with this race and that may even be leaving it alone altogether.
Royal Birth 11/2 2nd
Danzan 10/1 4th
NEWCASTLE 7.25
This class 4 race looks good for the grade with 3 known frontrunners in the field of 14, I will stick with my top 4 ratings, Bowson Fred is 4th top but is on a long losing run of 39, this frontrunner could make the frame but not one I could back to win, Archimedes is my 3rd top-rated and I've given this as a selection twice fairly recently and it won both times, its another frontrunner and if allowed an easy lead it could go very well again here, my 2nd top-rated is Henley who races as though further would suit it better but with a fast early pace its stamina could come into effect but my top rated is TATHMEEN 10/1 who is another that stays on strongly at the end of the race and with the make-up of this race it could play into its hands or hooves in this case.
Tathmeen 10/1 8th
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