Quite a tricky race to unravel, Baby Steps has been known to lead before but may not be quick enough to lead here as it might need further to shine, *DIZZY G 11/1 would be an easy winner if it can reproduce its best turf speed figure here so has to be backed, El Hombre could feasibly make the frame if running to it's best being 3rd best on my c/d figures, Moonraker might struggle to stay the trip in the make-up of this race as might Last Page who has won over c/d but only in a slow time, I've got joint top-rated horses in the 3-year-old POWER LINK 5/2 who could still improve so cannot be discounted plus the trainer does quite well at this course with an 18% win ratio but it would need a 100% clear run to win on my figures and REFLEKTOR 17/2 who if leading here could prove very hard to catch, I will look to back all 3 selections to some degree or another and maybe tilted in favour of the front running Reflektor.
Reflektor 8/1 7th
* NR
NEWCASTLE 7.05
A full house of 14 running in this race, Ower Fly could potentially set the pace in this race which otherwise seems devoid of frontrunners and if allowed to dictate could be a dangerous opponent Upstaging isversatile with its racing tactics and has led before but only when nothing else wants to so maybe not today, Great Shot has a speed figure from Wolverhampton this year that would make it my 2nd top rated overall but the booked jockeys 1-37 record for this stable doesnt bode well, Oriental Lilly is being ridden by a 7lbclaiming apprentice which would put it in the mix timewise but it is a 2018 time it could make the frame but im doubting it will win, the 3 year old FUTURISTIC 10/3 has only run 3 times before, its time on turf was enough to win this race cosily but on its run over this c/d it would need to improve but could easily do so, it has very good trainer/jockey stats and I will have to back it, my top rated is EPEIUS 8/1 who’s best time from this year puts it at the top of my list and has a time from 2018 thats 4lb higher, I cannot see any option other than to back them both in this race but maybe tilted in the favour of the latter with the proven rating.
Futuristic 10/3 1st + EX £24.90
Epeius 8/1 2nd
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