This is a nice looking and very competitive apprentice jockeys class 6 handicap and there are some unexposed horses in the race so my stakes will be kept in check, ive marked 4 down as lays and 2 of them are forecast to be single figure prices and if short enough would look value to lay plus another single priced horse that I dont think will like this surface, there looks to be a few that could try to set the pace, Packington Lane is a 3 year old that can lead but it would need to improve timewise to win and the same applies to Raypetafterme, Gorgeous General is my 3rd top rated and ikes to track the leaders, Encoded runs on well at the finish and comes out 2nd best on my speed figures, my money will be riding on STAR CACKER 11/1 if its each way price, its recent form has been quite poor but that has all been on grass but going back to its last run on the Aw which was over this c/d when it won and a repeat of that would see it back in the winners enclosure and im hoping the switch back to a favoured surface will rejuvinate its old form.
Star Cracker 12/1 5th
NEWCASTLE 8.30
This looks poor even for a class 5 affair of the 11 runners I've only got 4 with times fast enough to register on my graphs and 2 of those horses, Buccaneers Vault and Oriental Lilly, did their best times last but they was a few spots behind EPEIUS 7/2 who has a good figure from 2019 which is 4lbs below its best in 2018 but either of those times would see it winning quite nicely unless any of the others improve dramatically but will be the one carrying my dosh, the other one with a speed figure is Stewardess who seemed to get towed along in a fast run race at Wolverhampton last year but hasn't been near that level since.
Epeius 7/1 4th
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