I'm never confident with what stick reading I need for this course but with the current weather I'm going to assume it will be ok, only 6 runners to look at and one of them Celerity is a maiden after 76 runs, the only known frontrunner is Brandy Station but I'm not convinced it really likes g/f ground, Brockley Rise and Tawaafoq both look as though even further would suit them better, my money will be on SPOT LITE 4/1 and this one has good trainer/jockey stats and its only downside is its losing run of 15 but it has been found a good opportunity if its on a going day.
Spot Lite 4/1 2nd
CHELMSFORD 2.30
There's 9 runners but only 5 of them have recorded times, I will concentrate on that 5, Chookie Dunedin and Restless Rose are joint 4th best who will need to improve a few pounds to win here, Kraka is my 2nd top-rated using its best time from 2018 and its form this year has been well below that, CREEK HARBOUR 6/1 is my 3rd best but being the only known frontrunner in the race it could be very dangerous if allowed to dictate from the front and I will back it to some degree but I will also be backing DESERT FOX 3/1 who is my top rated and this ones best time came over this c/d this year which is always a positive.
Desert Fox 9/2 1st
Creek Harbour 7/1 7th
No comments:
Post a Comment